Orlando Magic at Golden State Warriors - NBA Model Line

Model vs market

Model fair line (Golden State Warriors)	-6.5
Market line (book)	-5.5
Edge (points)	+0.97
Model win prob - Orlando Magic	70.2%
Market implied - Golden State Warriors	65.7%
Power rating - Orlando Magic	1513.7
Power rating - Golden State Warriors	1586.6

Injury report

Orlando Magic

Draymond Green - day-to-day
Gary Payton II - day-to-day
Kristaps Porzingis - out
Gui Santos - day-to-day
Moses Moody - out
Jimmy Butler III - out

Golden State Warriors

Jonathan Isaac - out
Jalen Suggs - out
Paolo Banchero - out
Noah Penda - out
Izaiyah Nelson - out

How to read this page

El Pluga Sports is an independent betting-value scanner. Every day our Elo power model - adjusted for the current injury report - publishes a fair line for each game and compares it with the sportsbook market. When the two differ by 2+ points the game is flagged MISPRICED; when lines have already moved sharply toward one side it is flagged SHARP MOVE.

An edge is a statistical estimate, not a promise. Lines move, injuries change, and models are wrong often enough that no single game should be treated as certain. Bet only what you can afford to lose - see our responsible gambling page.

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